Monday, 15 April 2013

News Commentaries

[Multiple Blogs]



HP’s new boss and a
disastrous deal


Comment


Hewlett Packard Vs Autonomy:

I am not surprised that Hewlett Packard is now pursuing the former owners of Autonomy through US regulators and Courts to remedy what are clearly their own failings in basic business decision-making. Furthermore, though I am not preempting their outcome, I hold very little faith or confidence in that process, judging from how American regulators have been extorting huge sums of money from UK-based businesses, especially banks, in recent years.  Look at what is happening to BP; haemorrhaging cash at a rate that no multinational corporation has ever suffered and survived, they may end up with a bill in excess of $50 billion. The sums suffered by BP and our banks far exceed the gravity of their ‘sins’, if any.  

People who make a wrong commercial judgment should not expect the Courts to remedy their loss.  In the case of Guy Hands Vs CitiGroup; where they claimed to have overpaid on the acquisition of EMI, they subsequently lost the case and were forced to dispose of the asset, compounding their loss.  Royal Bank of Scotland deliberately overpaid to outbid Barclays in the acquisition of ABN-Amro; this was a reckless and greedy transaction that later rendered RBS insolvent and had to be taken-over by the State.  Though the law suits against Facebook’s $100 billion IPO is not strictly a case of direct business acquisition like the ones referred to already, it follows the same pattern of people complaining only after buying and sustaining at a loss.

 Meg Whitman, the new boss of HP will be better advised to concentrate her energy on rebuilding the company from scratch than pursuing an unjust and wasteful witch-hunt that has no merit.




 







Cameron and Merkel 'agree to work together' on EU



Comment


David Cameron’s family visit to Angela Merkel at her country retreat is a PR coup for both parties.  It clearly shines a favourable light on the Prime minister, but may not be enough to appease his eurosceptic parliamentary colleagues.  Similarly for Mrs. Merkel who is facing elections later in the year, such advert will resonate well with many Germans amidst growing whispers of resentment that Germany is becoming a sugar-daddy whose money is propping up the rest of the Eurozone.  Definitely the PM knows that he can no longer hope to materially change the direction of European integration, but the symbolism of his visit is equally significant.  

In about 2 year’s time, all things being equal, I must hastily add, the PM will be seeking another mandate from the British people.  British voters are intelligent enough to judge that this PM has already delivered much from a very restricted position; struggling with a coalition government with its inherent limitations and at the same time trying to rescue an ailing economy which he inherited.  There was a great old sage that says: ‘To whom much is given much is required’.  But in the case of PM Cameron the converse of this sage should apply: ‘To whom few is given few will be required’ – So expecting the PM to perform miracles with what is in effect a minority government is like asking an athlete with one hand tied to his back to outrun Usain Bolt. 

The PM should remain true to his conscience and convictions and, in the meantime try to optimize with the resources available to him.  Among the many tributes paid to Baroness Thatcher, the words of Sir Malcolm Rifkin best supports my argument that the PM should not try to be all things to all men, but should follow his convictions.  Sir Rifkin recalled one occasion when the then Prime minister Thatcher was asked if she believed in consensus politics, she replied: ‘Yes, I do believe in consensus: There should be a consensus behind my convictions’.

So, with disloyal Tory parliamentarians exploiting the PM’s lack of majority at every turn, his Lib-Dem coalition partners threatening to withdraw support if they don’t have their way, and UKiP intent on splitting the conservative party, there is clearly no way the PM can expect to keep everybody completely happy.  But you never know, 2 years is long time in politics; between now and 2015 when the next election is due any thing can happen.  At a point in Margret Thatcher’s 1st term as Prime minister she was so low in the polls that she was not expected to win a 2nd term, but she went on to win 3 terms.

Finally, I just hope the PM and Chancellor Osborne will carry on with their policy of economic discipline because, to my mind, there is no third way.  However, in the meantime, the PM should not allow the controversies surrounding the EU to distract him from the more urgent work at hand.   

     




        

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